First cycle
degree courses
Second cycle
degree courses
Single cycle
degree courses
School of Science
STATISTICS FOR TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE
Course unit
BIODEMOGRAPHY
SCP4063804, A.A. 2018/19

Information concerning the students who enrolled in A.Y. 2016/17

Information on the course unit
Degree course First cycle degree in
STATISTICS FOR TECHNOLOGY AND SCIENCE
SC2094, Degree course structure A.Y. 2014/15, A.Y. 2018/19
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Number of ECTS credits allocated 9.0
Type of assessment Mark
Course unit English denomination BIODEMOGRAPHY
Website of the academic structure http://www.stat.unipd.it/studiare/ammissione-lauree-triennali
Department of reference Department of Statistical Sciences
Mandatory attendance No
Language of instruction Italian
Branch PADOVA
Single Course unit The Course unit can be attended under the option Single Course unit attendance
Optional Course unit The Course unit can be chosen as Optional Course unit

Lecturers
Teacher in charge STEFANO MAZZUCO SECS-S/04

ECTS: details
Type Scientific-Disciplinary Sector Credits allocated
Educational activities in elective or integrative disciplines SECS-S/04 Demographics 9.0

Course unit organization
Period Second semester
Year 3rd Year
Teaching method frontal

Type of hours Credits Teaching
hours
Hours of
Individual study
Shifts
Laboratory 1.5 12 25.5 No turn
Lecture 7.5 52 135.5 No turn

Calendar
Start of activities 25/02/2019
End of activities 14/06/2019

Examination board
Board From To Members of the board
3 Commissione a.a.2018/19 01/10/2018 30/09/2019 MAZZUCO STEFANO (Presidente)
BOCCUZZO GIOVANNA (Membro Effettivo)
DALLA ZUANNA GIANPIERO (Membro Effettivo)
ONGARO FAUSTA (Membro Effettivo)

Syllabus
Prerequisites: INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY, STATISTICS 2
Target skills and knowledge: The course unit considers the basic methods and concepts of biodemographic studies, with a special focus on fertility and survival. Students will be provided with a general comprehension of population mortality and fertility laws, growth mechanisms and evolution of age structure.
Examination methods: A written test (3/4 exercises, two hours of time) is given to students. The questions in the test are aimed at evaluating the ability of analyzing and discussing demographic data. Students who received a grade greater or equal than 27/30 will undergo an oral test.
Assessment criteria: Students will be evaluated on the base of their comprehension of course unit topics and their ability to apply methods and concepts given during the unit
Course unit contents: 1. Fertility [3 ECTS]

- Fertility measures, cohort and period perspective, tempo and quantum effects, Bongaarts aand Feeney method
- Biological and behavioral detrminats of fertility. Fecundity, sterility, fecundability; Estimate issues, Bongaarts model.
- Fertility law (Coale-McNeill, Peristera-Kostaki, Hadwiger).

2. Survival and mortality [4 ECTS]

-Base methods for mortality analysis: life table and its functions, cohort and period perspective, mortality indices. Extending the life table: disability free survival.
- Aspects of human mortality: health and epidemiological transition. Verticalization, horizontalization, longevity extension.
-Mortality laws: Empirical tables, Gompertz law and mathematical functions (Siler, Heligman-Pollard). Mortality forecasting.
- Studies on extreme longevity, Life table for extremely old ages
- Causes of death and methods for their analysis. Multi-decrements and cause specific tables

3. Populations evolution [2 ECTS]
- Measures and models of population growth (growth rates, logistic law)
- Age structure of a population and its evolution, Lotka equation. Stable and Stationary populations. Sex ratio at birth and at other ages.
Planned learning activities and teaching methods: The course unit is made of lectures and computer labs. Computer labs are aimed at giving a greater comprehension of mechanisms behind reproductive and survival processes of a population
Textbooks (and optional supplementary readings)
  • Preston S.H. Heuviline P., Demografy. Mesauring and Modeling Population Processes. --: Blackwell Publishing, 2001. Cerca nel catalogo
  • Caselli G., Vallin j., Wunsch G., Demografia. la dinamica delle popolazioni. --: Carocci, 2001. Cerca nel catalogo

Innovative teaching methods: Teaching and learning strategies
  • Laboratory
  • Interactive lecturing

Innovative teaching methods: Software or applications used
  • Moodle (files, quizzes, workshops, ...)